Working papers:

Constrained Classification and Policy Learning, with Toru Kitagawa and Shosei Sakaguchi (July 2023)

An Economic Theory of Statistical Testing (updated August 2016)

Identification of Positive Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments with Non-Compliance (Feb 2012)

Measuring Precision of Statistical Inference on Partially Identified Parameters (Jan 2012)


Statistical Decision Theory Respecting Stochastic Dominance, with Charles F. Manski, Japanese Economic Review (Nov 2023).

Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Drugs, with Charles F. Manski, Value in Health 24 (2021), 641-647.

MATLAB code for "Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs"
Supplementary tables: near-optimality of the two-sided 5% hypothesis test and the empirical success decision rules for two-arm trials with binary outcomes
near_optimality_TableS1.csv : sample sizes of 1-300 per arm (in steps of 1)
near_optimality_TableS2.csv : sample sizes of 10-1000 per arm (in steps of 10)

Equality-Minded Treatment Choice, with Toru Kitagawa, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 39 (2021), 561-574.

Trial Size for Near-Optimal Choice Between Surveillance and Aggressive Treatment: Reconsidering MSLT-II, with Charles F. Manski, The American Statistician 73:sup1 (2019), 305-311.
Supplemental material (MATLAB code).

Who Should be Treated? Empirical Welfare Maximization Methods for Treatment Choice, with Toru Kitagawa, Econometrica 86 (2018), 591-616.
Supplement 1 (Appendices A-C)
Supplement 2 (Appendices D-E, replication files)

Sufficient Trial Size to Inform Clinical Practice, with Charles F. Manski, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113 (2016), 10518-10523.

Price as a signal of product quality: Some experimental evidence, with Giovanni Mastrobuoni and Franco Peracchi, Journal of Wine Economics 9 (2014), 115-134.
Open access - accepted manuscript

Statistical Treatment Choice Based on Asymmetric Minimax Regret Criteria, Journal of Econometrics 166 (2012), 157-165.
Open access - accepted manuscript

Admissible Treatment Rules for a Risk-Averse Planner with Experimental Data on an Innovation, with Charles F. Manski, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 137 (2007), 1998-2010.
Open access - accepted manuscript